+8.69%
Average ROI
On instinct: 50% · with VBT:
Over 967,991 matches analysed since 2017.
Since 2017 · 7,030 members · 547,685 alerts sent
Everything is automated: the engine analyses, you bet.
Instant access to both strategies, no commitment.
By email and Telegram: the player to back, the recommended odds and the bookmaker odds (Pinnacle).
You copy the bet at your bookmaker. Result tracking is automatic.
You analyse nothing, you receive the bets to place.
Every alert contains the player to back, the recommended odds — the minimum threshold to respect — and the observed bookmaker odds (Pinnacle).
You copy it at the bookmaker of your choice, in under 30 seconds. Result tracking is automatic in your dashboard.
Both included in the subscription. They never overlap: 0 bets in common out of 1,133 placed.
Backtest 2021 → 2026, flat €50 stake, odds genuinely available before each match.
Starting at €5,000, flat €50 stake per bet.
| season | bets | avg. odds | strike rate | ROI | profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 * | 180 | 1.61 | 68.9% | +5.74% | +€516 |
| 2022 * | 185 | 1.65 | 70.8% | +12.21% | +€1,130 |
| 2023 | 279 | 1.72 | 64.9% | +7.81% | +€1,089 |
| 2024 | 181 | 1.68 | 65.2% | +5.30% | +€480 |
| 2025 | 179 | 1.63 | 70.4% | +9.98% | +€893 |
| 2026 | 129 | 1.72 | 68.2% | +12.59% | +€812 |
| 6 seasons | 1,133 | 1.67 | 67.8% | +8.69% | +€4,920 |
| of which 2023-2026 (validated) | 768 | 1.69 | 66.8% | +8.53% | +€3,274 |
* training season: these matches were used to tune the model's coefficients, so it already knows their outcome.
Losing runs are part of the model. Value betting is judged over time.
Subscribed for 8 months. The alerts arrive fast, the interface is clear, and above all the odds offered really are available at the bookmakers when you receive them. My ROI for the season is positive for the first time.
Julien M.
Very good tool for anyone who understands the value bet concept. The per-engine statistics let you choose what to stake on according to your risk profile. One small drawback: you have to be quick, some odds move fast.
Sophie L.
I used to follow tennis matches by eye, now I rely on the engines. Result tracking is transparent, everything is recorded, you can check every past alert. That is what convinced me to stay.
Karim B.
Unbeatable value for money at €29 a month. I tried several tipsters before; here at least everything is measured and automated, no vague promises. The suggested bankroll management saved me from big mistakes early on.
Thomas D.
Quick to pick up even without being an expert in sports betting. I like how regular the alerts are during the Grand Slams. I would just like a native mobile app, though the mobile site does the job well.
Claire V.
A customer since 2023. What sets Valuebetennis apart: transparency. Every engine has its full history, wins and losses alike. Over the long run, the curve speaks for itself.
Antoine R.
No martingale, no magic "staking system": a statistical edge, recalculated match by match. Here is the full chain, from raw data to alert.
A bet is only placed if the estimated probability p, multiplied by the odds c, exceeds 1: that is the mathematical definition of a value bet, a positive expected value. The recommended odds of each alert are that 1/p threshold: below it, the bet loses its edge and the engine does not place it.
The recommended odds are referenced on Pinnacle and the main bookmakers. You bet at the bookmaker of your choice; the recommended odds are the minimum threshold to respect.
A few minutes. You receive the ready-to-play alert by email and Telegram, then you copy the bet in under 30 seconds.
That is normal, value betting is judged over time. Losing runs are part of the model. The full history of the 1,133 bets shows the drawdowns as well as the gains.
In 1 click from your account, at any time, with no reason to give and no fee. The subscription has no commitment.
The ATP singles tour (excluding ITF and Futures), with heightened activity during the Grand Slams.
No. The results are computed on a flat €50 stake, but you adapt the stake to your budget. Bankroll management guidance is provided to get you started.
Launch offer
2026 ATP Favoris and 2026 ATP Outsider. On average 16 alerts a month, automatically.
less than €1/day · No commitment · Cancel any time · 100 % secure payment
Where these engines come from. Valuebetennis has been building tennis prediction engines since 2017 and has published dozens of profitable engines, each with its full history available to consult. Recent progress in AI allowed us to rebuild the core of the engine and derive the two 2026 versions (Favoris and Outsider) presented on this page, our best to date. That is why the backtest covers 6 seasons (2021-2026) and not the history since 2017: the figures on this page describe only the current model, not the previous generations.
How these figures are obtained. Each season is predicted by a model trained only on previous seasons: at no point does it know the outcome of the matches it evaluates. The match sheets used are those computed live before each match, with the information genuinely available at that time. Scope: ATP singles, excluding ITF/Futures. The engine only backs the player it designates as the favourite.
What these figures are not. This is a simulation, not a real account: none of these 1,133 bets was actually placed. The 2021 and 2022 seasons, marked with an asterisk, were used for training and are therefore flattering by construction. Over the seasons unknown to the model alone (2023-2026), the ROI comes out at +8.53 % over 768 bets. In real conditions, the gap between simulation and actual result is usually around 5 points: the performance to expect is therefore noticeably lower than the figure shown. Betting involves risks.