Monday 25 May 2026: 5 singles matches, a model favourite published on 1. Day's record: 1 right winners out of 1 (100.0%). The favourite and its probability come from version 1.1.0 of our model, the one whose accuracy is measured and published: 67.39% right winners on 59,960 ATP matches since 2021, against 67.07% for the bookmaker's favourite. The prediction is only published where the model is calibrated (ATP, from Challenger to Grand Slam).
| Time | Match | Round | Cotes du marché | Model prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:15 | Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfils (n°91 / n°311) | Round 1 | 1.92 / 1.95 | Gaston 51 % | Gaston ✔ |
| Time | Match | Round | Cotes du marché | Model prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:30 | Hanyu Guo vs Mccartney Kessler (n°210 / n°66) | Round 1 | 3.21 / 1.38 | — | Kessler |
| 17:30 | Maria Camila Osorio Serrano vs Ekaterina Alexandrova (n°59 / n°19) | Round 1 | 1.72 / 2.21 | — | Serrano |
| 17:30 | Kamilla Rakhimova vs Jaqueline Cristian (n°92 / n°36) | Round 1 | 3.36 / 1.36 | — | Rakhimova |
| 17:30 | Diana Shnaider vs Renata Zarazua (n°16 / n°74) | Round 1 | 1.15 / 6.12 | — | Shnaider |
Three cases. The match is outside the scope where the model is calibrated and measured (ATP, from Challenger to Grand Slam): it is listed with its odds, without a prediction. An alert from our engines is active on this match: the prediction is reserved for subscribers until the market closes, then becomes public again. Or the match profile could not be computed.
Version 1.1.0 of the model picks the right winner in 67.39% of cases on 59,960 ATP matches since 2021, against 67.07% for the bookmaker's favourite on the same matches. The figure alone says nothing: each day's record is published and verifiable.
No. The model's favourite wins most of the time, but a bet only has value when the odds exceed 1 divided by the probability. Our paid alerts exist only in that case, on about two matches in a hundred.