Saturday 15 Aug 2026: 73 singles matches, a model favourite published on 21. Day's record: 14 right winners out of 21 (66.7%). The favourite and its probability come from version 1.1.0 of our model, the one whose accuracy is measured and published: 67.39% right winners on 59,960 ATP matches since 2021, against 67.07% for the bookmaker's favourite. The prediction is only published where the model is calibrated (ATP, from Challenger to Grand Slam).
| Time | Match | Round | Cotes du marché | Model prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:15 | Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic (n°39 / n°81) | Round 1 | 1.86 / 2.02 | Aguilar 55 % | Aguilar 3-6 6-1 4-0 ✔ |
| 02:10 | Jaime Faria vs Jenson Brooksby (n°72 / n°74) | Round 1 | 2.27 / 1.69 | Brooksby 56 % | Faria 6-3 6-2 ✘ |
| 04:20 | Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Karen Khachanov (n°84 / n°50) | Round 1 | 3.02 / 1.42 | Khachanov 70 % | Kovacevic 5-7 6-3 1-2 ✘ |
| 14:35 | Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng (n°63 / n°107) | Round 1 | 2.25 / 1.70 | Zheng 63 % | Zheng 6-3 1-6 6-6 ✔ |
| 18:05 | Miomir Kecmanovic vs Flavio Cobolli (n°64 / n°6) | Round 2 | 1.95 / 1.92 | Kecmanovic 53 % | Cobolli 1-6 6-4 3-6 ✘ |
| 18:05 | Alexander Blockx vs Mariano Navone (n°34 / n°49) | Round 2 | 1.74 / 2.18 | Blockx 57 % | Blockx 6-3 6-4 ✔ |
| 18:05 | Martin Landaluce vs Matteo Arnaldi (n°65 / n°36) | Round 2 | 1.86 / 2.01 | Landaluce 52 % | Landaluce 6-4 4-6 6-4 ✔ |
| 21:05 | Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirante (n°5 / n°42) | Round 2 | 1.24 / 4.38 | Djokovic 79 % | Tirante 6-2 4-6 4-4 ✘ |
| 21:25 | Mattia Bellucci vs Jakub Mensik (n°95 / n°18) | Round 2 | 4.34 / 1.24 | Mensik 79 % | Mensik 5-7 6-2 6-7(5) ✔ |
| 21:50 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Valentin Vacherot (n°60 / n°23) | Round 2 | 3.52 / 1.33 | Vacherot 73 % | Vallejo 6-3 6-3 ✘ |
| 22:20 | Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alejandro Tabilo (n°44 / n°28) | Round 2 | 2.92 / 1.45 | Tabilo 70 % | Tabilo 3-6 4-6 ✔ |
| 22:45 | Quentin Halys vs Alex De Minaur (n°52 / n°7) | Round 2 | 3.64 / 1.32 | Minaur 74 % | Minaur 6-1 3-6 4-4 ✔ |
| 23:50 | Terence Atmane vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (n°92 / n°32) | Round 2 | 1.62 / 2.40 | Atmane 62 % | Atmane 6-3 6-6 ✔ |
| Time | Match | Round | Cotes du marché | Model prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:15 | Mary Stoiana vs Tereza Valentova (n°122 / n°50) | Round 1 | 3.01 / 1.43 | — | Valentova 2-6 6-6 |
| 02:05 | Sloane Stephens vs Sinja Kraus (n°209 / n°90) | Round 1 | 2.14 / 1.76 | — | Stephens 7-5 4-3 |
| 03:50 | Sofia Kenin vs Eva Lys (n°110 / n°98) | Round 1 | 2.18 / 1.74 | — | Kenin 1-6 6-3 6-3 |
| 18:05 | Cristina Bucsa vs Maja Chwalinska (n°40 / n°22) | Round 2 | 1.96 / 1.91 | — | Chwalinska 2-6 2-6 |
| 18:05 | Alexandra Eala vs Elena Gabriela Ruse (n°18 / n°64) | Round 2 | 1.47 / 2.85 | — | Eala 6-1 3-0 |
| 18:05 | Shuai Zhang vs Kayla Day (n°54 / n°117) | Round 1 | 1.96 / 1.91 | — | Zhang 2-6 6-2 6-2 |
| 18:05 | Zeynep Sonmez vs Amanda Anisimova (n°53 / n°10) | Round 2 | 4.39 / 1.24 | — | Anisimova 2-6 3-6 |
| 21:01 | Caty McNally vs Anna Kalinskaya (n°65 / n°23) | Round 2 | 2.22 / 1.71 | — | Kalinskaya 3-6 4-6 |
| 21:25 | Diana Shnaider vs Tatjana Maria (n°16 / n°83) | Round 2 | 1.28 / 3.94 | — | Shnaider 6-2 7-5 |
| 22:00 | Linda Noskova vs Katie Boulter (n°6 / n°62) | Round 2 | 1.27 / 4.07 | — | Noskova 6-3 5-3 |
| 22:15 | Jelena Ostapenko vs Magdalena Frech (n°32 / n°41) | Round 2 | 1.86 / 2.02 | — | Frech 1-6 3-6 |
| 22:20 | Sorana Cirstea vs Nikola Bartunkova (n°17 / n°34) | Round 2 | 1.61 / 2.42 | — | Cirstea 7-6(5) 6-3 |
| 23:35 | Simona Waltert vs Jessica Pegula (n°89 / n°3) | Round 2 | 11.60 / 1.05 | — | Pegula 3-6 2-6 |
| Time | Match | Round | Cotes du marché | Model prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanov (n°255 / n°466) | Semi-final | 1.86 / 1.99 | Matsuoka 50 % | Matsuoka 3-6 6-3 5-4 ✔ |
| 10:35 | Aziz Dougaz vs Sergey Fomin (n°524 / n°295) | Semi-final | 1.51 / 2.67 | Dougaz 67 % | Dougaz 4-6 6-1 7-5 ✔ |
| Time | Match | Round | Cotes du marché | Model prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:35 | Ruth Roura Llaverias vs Anna Siskova (n°584 / n°207) | Semi-final | 3.94 / 1.23 | — | Siskova 0-6 3-5 |
| 13:00 | Laima Vladson vs Rasheeda Mcadoo (n°684 / n°536) | Semi-final | 1.53 / 2.43 | — | Mcadoo 5-7 3-5 |
| Time | Match | Round | Cotes du marché | Model prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | Maxim Mrva vs Alex Barrena (n°212 / n°235) | Semi-final | 1.71 / 2.21 | Mrva 56 % | Mrva 6-3 6-2 ✔ |
| 21:30 | Nicolas Kicker vs Marco Cecchinato (n°366 / n°166) | Semi-final | 3.48 / 1.33 | Cecchinato 71 % | Kicker 6-4 4-6 6-2 ✘ |
| Time | Match | Round | Cotes du marché | Model prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:05 | Andres Andrade vs Jack Pinnington Jones (n°243 / n°165) | Quarter-final | 2.90 / 1.44 | Jones 67 % | Jones 6-4 5-7 5-5 ✔ |
| 23:00 | Daniel Milavsky vs Lloyd Harris (n°316 / n°139) | Semi-final | 2.91 / 1.44 | Harris 66 % | Harris 7-6(6) 3-6 3-6 ✔ |
| Time | Match | Round | Cotes du marché | Model prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:30 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Jan Kumstat (n°260 / n°186) | Semi-final | 2.20 / 1.71 | Kumstat 60 % | Kumstat 4-6 7-5 2-6 ✔ |
| 17:45 | Matej Dodig vs Marvin Moeller (n°254 / n°278) | Semi-final | 1.68 / 2.27 | Dodig 60 % | Moeller 2-6 2-1 ✘ |
| Time | Match | Round | Cotes du marché | Model prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:05 | Rositsa Dencheva vs Luna Vujovic (n°280 / n°350) | Semi-final | 1.57 / 2.30 | — | Dencheva 7-6 5-4 |
| 12:35 | Mia Ristic vs Matilde Paoletti (n°195 / n°879) | Semi-final | 1.32 / 3.13 | — | Ristic 5-7 7-5 5-4 |
| Time | Match | Round | Cotes du marché | Model prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:35 | Susan Bandecchi vs Alana Smith (n°152 / n°458) | Final | 1.19 / 4.23 | — | Bandecchi 7-5 5-0 |
| Time | Match | Round | Cotes du marché | Model prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:35 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar vs Nellie Taraba Wallberg (n°360 / n°544) | Semi-final | 1.64 / 2.15 | — | Kotliar 2-6 6-1 5-4 |
| 14:35 | Daria Kuczer vs Dalila Jakupovic (n°711 / n°343) | Semi-final | 2.25 / 1.61 | — | Kuczer 7-5 5-3 |
| Time | Match | Round | Cotes du marché | Model prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:05 | Matilde Jorge vs Sonja Zhiyenbayeva (n°300 / n°450) | Semi-final | 1.78 / 1.95 | — | Zhiyenbayeva 7-6 4-6 2-5 |
| 15:57 | Yufei Ren vs Britt Du Pree (n°313 / n°308) | Semi-final | 2.28 / 1.60 | — | Ren 6-2 6-5 |
| Time | Match | Round | Cotes du marché | Model prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:30 | Matthew William Donald vs Louis Wessels (n°443 / n°486) | Semi-final | 1.48 / 2.56 | — | Wessels 6-2 3-6 4-5 |
| 16:57 | Luca Staeheli vs Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg (n°529 / n°802) | Semi-final | 1.56 / 2.35 | — | Staeheli 6-7 6-3 5-2 |
| Time | Match | Round | Cotes du marché | Model prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:05 | Yunseong Chung vs Omar Jasika (n°894 / n°408) | Semi-final | 2.56 / 1.48 | — | Jasika 2-6 2-5 |
| 06:05 | Matthew Dellavedova vs Kosuke Ogura (n°293 / n°821) | Semi-final | 1.08 / 7.82 | — | Ogura 6-3 6-7 4-5 |
| Time | Match | Round | Cotes du marché | Model prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:05 | Irem Kurt vs Asylzhan Arystanbekova (n°637 / n°716) | Semi-final | 2.57 / 1.48 | — | Arystanbekova 3-6 2-5 |
| 10:05 | Haruna Arakawa vs Ha Eum Lee (n°832 / n°714) | Semi-final | 1.88 / 1.88 | — | Arakawa 6-4 5-1 |
| Time | Match | Round | Cotes du marché | Model prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni vs Ida Wobker (n°882 / n°561) | Semi-final | 4.10 / 1.22 | — | Wobker 4-6 5-6 |
| 10:35 | Maria Sara Popa vs Diana-Ioana Simionescu (n°413 / n°810) | Semi-final | 1.24 / 3.82 | — | Popa 6-3 6-5 |
| Time | Match | Round | Cotes du marché | Model prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:05 | Chengyiyi Yuan vs Yushan Shao (n°443 / n°797) | Semi-final | 2.11 / 1.69 | — | Yuan 3-6 6-3 6-6 |
| 06:05 | Shihomi Li Xuan Leong vs Thasaporn Naklo (— / n°533) | Semi-final | 2.35 / 1.56 | — | Naklo 5-7 2-5 |
| Time | Match | Round | Cotes du marché | Model prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:05 | Andrey Chepelev vs Stefan Horia Haita (n°383 / n°668) | Semi-final | 2.03 / 1.75 | — | Haita 4-6 6-4 4-5 |
| 12:35 | Sean Cuenin vs Marat Sharipov (n°279 / n°442) | Semi-final | 1.61 / 2.25 | — | Cuenin 6-4 5-2 |
| Time | Match | Round | Cotes du marché | Model prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:05 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Raphael Perot (n°244 / n°338) | Semi-final | 1.50 / 2.50 | — | Perot 2-6 4-5 |
| 17:05 | Lars Goran Verwerft vs Michael Geerts (— / n°322) | Semi-final | 4.57 / 1.18 | — | Verwerft 2-6 6-2 5-4 |
| Time | Match | Round | Cotes du marché | Model prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:10 | Gabriel Ghetu vs Vlad Cristian Breazu (n°620 / —) | Semi-final | 1.19 / 4.32 | — | Breazu 2-6 3-5 |
| 10:15 | Dragos Nicolae Madaras vs Rares Teodor Pieleanu (n°558 / n°774) | Semi-final | 1.25 / 3.60 | — | Pieleanu 5-7 1-2 |
| Time | Match | Round | Cotes du marché | Model prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:10 | Amit Vales vs Oskari Paldanius (n°598 / n°824) | Final | 1.86 / 1.86 | — | Paldanius 6-3 5-7 4-5 |
| Time | Match | Round | Cotes du marché | Model prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:05 | Gonzalo Villanueva vs Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo (n°321 / n°460) | Final | 2.20 / 1.64 | — | Cardozo 3-6 6-6 |
| Time | Match | Round | Cotes du marché | Model prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:35 | Dan Added vs Goncalo Marques (n°281 / n°762) | Semi-final | 1.45 / 2.67 | — | Added 7-6 5-3 |
| 11:35 | Tristan Mccormick vs Philip Henning (n°709 / n°299) | Semi-final | 6.48 / 1.10 | — | Henning 4-6 6-6 |
| Time | Match | Round | Cotes du marché | Model prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:05 | Vincent Reisach vs Fares Zakaria (— / n°559) | Semi-final | 1.74 / 2.01 | — | Reisach 5-7 6-3 5-6 |
| 13:35 | Robert Strombachs vs Daniel De Jonge (n°415 / n°593) | Semi-final | 1.62 / 2.24 | — | Strombachs 6-3 5-2 |
| Time | Match | Round | Cotes du marché | Model prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:25 | Karl Friberg vs Nikola Slavic (n°675 / n°798) | Semi-final | 1.51 / 2.48 | — | Friberg 6-2 5-2 |
| 12:25 | John Hallquist Lithen vs Nino Ehrenschneider (n°645 / n°596) | Semi-final | 1.71 / 2.07 | — | Lithen 6-2 6-6 |
| Time | Match | Round | Cotes du marché | Model prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:05 | Michael Agwi vs Liam Gavrielides (n°778 / n°826) | Semi-final | 2.23 / 1.62 | — | Agwi 6-1 5-4 |
| 15:51 | Marcel Zielinski vs Ziga Sesko (n°531 / n°704) | Semi-final | 2.88 / 1.39 | — | Sesko 3-6 5-6 |
| Time | Match | Round | Cotes du marché | Model prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:10 | Lan Mi vs Marjorie Souza (n°465 / n°772) | Semi-final | 1.41 / 2.95 | — | Mi 6-0 5-4 |
| 21:39 | Carolina Bohrer Martins vs Luiza Fullana (n°689 / n°478) | Semi-final | 3.10 / 1.38 | — | Fullana 1-6 6-3 3-5 |
| Time | Match | Round | Cotes du marché | Model prediction | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:05 | Nikita Filin vs Karl Poling (— / n°452) | Semi-final | 1.94 / 1.89 | — | Poling 4-6 6-4 6-6 |
| 18:10 | Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Max Sheldon (n°838 / —) | Semi-final | — / — | — | Alvarez 6-1 5-2 |
Three cases. The match is outside the scope where the model is calibrated and measured (ATP, from Challenger to Grand Slam): it is listed with its odds, without a prediction. An alert from our engines is active on this match: the prediction is reserved for subscribers until the market closes, then becomes public again. Or the match profile could not be computed.
Version 1.1.0 of the model picks the right winner in 67.39% of cases on 59,960 ATP matches since 2021, against 67.07% for the bookmaker's favourite on the same matches. The figure alone says nothing: each day's record is published and verifiable.
No. The model's favourite wins most of the time, but a bet only has value when the odds exceed 1 divided by the probability. Our paid alerts exist only in that case, on about two matches in a hundred.